Tennis · M15 Baku · 02/10, 08:00

Prediction: Volodymyr Iakubenko vs Kerem Yilmaz

Team pages: Volodymyr Iakubenko · Kerem Yilmaz

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Volodymyr Iakubenko Kerem Yilmaz
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Volodymyr Iakubenko 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLLLWWW
Kerem Yilmaz 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Volodymyr Iakubenko 1507 · Kerem Yilmaz 1507
Volodymyr IakubenkoKerem Yilmaz
Our model50%50%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Volodymyr Iakubenko makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Volodymyr IakubenkoKerem Yilmaz
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.4-1.1
Games (G-P)11.9-10.913.1-11.2
Aces6.40.9
Double faults4.43
1st serve %74.3%69%
Break %30.9%50.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Volodymyr Iakubenko

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/10 Makar Krivoshchekov
M15 Baku
2-0 12-3 W
29/09 Aleksandre Bakshi
M15 Baku
2-0 13-7 W
23/09 Marcus Walters
M15 Baku
1-2 16-19 L
04/08 Sergey Petrov
M15 Astana
1-2 12-12 L
28/07 Amir Omarkhanov
M15 Astana
0-2 6-12 L
09/07 Logan Zapp
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
08/07 Aziz Ouakaa
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 19-17 W
18/06 Matas Vasiliauskas
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
16/06 Amir Milushev
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
12/06 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Kerem Yilmaz

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/10 Tamerlan Azizov
M15 Baku
2-0 12-2 W
29/09 Alexey Aleshchev
M15 Baku
2-0 12-5 W
24/09 Oscar Brown
M15 Baku
0-2 7-12 L
22/09 Egor Agafonov
M15 Baku
2-0 12-5 W
02/09 Marat Salbiev
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-1 10-11 L
11/08 Vesa Ahti
M15 Turku
1-2 15-16 L
04/08 Koki Matsuda
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
03/08 Alec Deckers
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 18-16 W
02/08 Maxim Zhukov
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 19-15 W
27/07 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Challenger Samsun · Hard
1-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Volodymyr Iakubenko vs Kerem Yilmaz?

Our model gives 51% to Kerem Yilmaz, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.