Tennis · M15 Baku · 29/09, 09:30

Prediction: James Connel vs Ivan Gretskiy

Team pages: James Connel · Ivan Gretskiy

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
James Connel Ivan Gretskiy
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
James Connel 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLWLLLWL
Ivan Gretskiy 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · James Connel 1498 · Ivan Gretskiy 1500
James ConnelIvan Gretskiy
Our model50%50%
Market84%16%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Ivan Gretskiy makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

James ConnelIvan Gretskiy
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.2-1.3
Games (G-P)10.1-9.611.5-11.8
Aces2.55.4
Double faults2.34.9
1st serve %66.5%73.2%
Break %41.7%43.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

James Connel

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Arvid Nordquist
M15 Baku
0-2 12-14 L
23/09 Louis Larue
M15 Baku
2-0 12-8 W
17/09 Damien Salvestre
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/09 Ali Yazdani
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
10/09 Kasra Rahmani
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
09/09 Taym Alazmeh
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
13/05 Christian Langmo
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
01/05 Nick Hardt
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
30/04 Hunter Heck
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
29/04 Kian Vakili
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W

Ivan Gretskiy

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Baku
0-2 7-12 L
22/09 Thomas Drayton
M15 Baku
2-0 13-10 W
17/09 Keshav Chopra
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
16/09 Aldin Setkic
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 7-1 W
09/09 Pranav Karthik
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 14-12 W
02/09 Michal Krajci
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 16-18 L
26/08 Jake Fellows
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
07/08 Pawit Sornlaksup
M15 Astana
1-2 13-12 L
06/08 Yerassyl Yerdilda
M15 Astana
2-1 16-15 W
30/07 Dan Brand
M15 Astana
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in James Connel vs Ivan Gretskiy?

Our model gives 69% to James Connel, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.