Prediction: Alexey Aleshchev vs Kerem Yilmaz
Team pages: Alexey Aleshchev · Kerem Yilmaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexey Aleshchev
Kerem Yilmaz
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alexey Aleshchev
3-7 (W-L)
Kerem Yilmaz
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexey Aleshchev 1433 · Kerem Yilmaz 1488
| Alexey Aleshchev | Kerem Yilmaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kerem Yilmaz (rating 1433 vs 1488).
- Note: Kerem Yilmaz makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Alexey Aleshchev | Kerem Yilmaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-11.8 | 13.6-13.1 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexey Aleshchev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Pavel Skvortcov M15 Baku |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Karol Filar M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Peter Zavacky M15 Poprad |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Ryo Minakata M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Xin Zhou M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/05 | Romain Faucon M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Heinrich Rootman M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 29/04 | Franco Ribero M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Kerem Yilmaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Oscar Brown M15 Baku |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Egor Agafonov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Marat Salbiev M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-1 | 10-11 | L |
| 11/08 | Vesa Ahti M15 Turku |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 02/08 | Maxim Zhukov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 27/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/07 | S Mert Ozdemir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Elijah Strode M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexey Aleshchev vs Kerem Yilmaz?
Our model gives 69% to Kerem Yilmaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.