Tennis · M15 Baku · 30/09, 08:00

Prediction: Oleg Kolninov vs Louis Larue

Team pages: Oleg Kolninov · Louis Larue

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Oleg Kolninov Louis Larue
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Oleg Kolninov 2-8 (W-L)
LLWLLWLLLL
Louis Larue 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oleg Kolninov 1445 · Louis Larue 1445
Oleg KolninovLouis Larue
Our model50%50%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Louis Larue makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Oleg KolninovLouis Larue
Win %20%30%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.80.9-1.5
Games (G-P)8.2-12.79.1-11.7
Aces4.64.4
Double faults2.35.5
1st serve %57.9%67.7%
Break %29%62.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oleg Kolninov

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Thomas Drayton
M15 Baku
0-2 5-12 L
16/09 Valentino Grippo
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
14/09 Mikhail Khodorchenko
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-1 11-9 W
07/09 Dmitrii Burtsev
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
06/09 Ilya Ignatov
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-1 10-10 W
07/07 Niksa Arsic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
17/01 Ammar Elamin
UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
15/01 Noritaka Koizumi
UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
13/01 Taiyo Uenoyama
UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
12/01 Yuta Tomida
UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Louis Larue

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 James Connel
M15 Baku
0-2 8-12 L
02/09 Kael Shalin Shah
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
28/08 Toufik Sahtali
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 11-14 L
27/08 Jorge Plans
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-14 W
26/08 Skander Nsairi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 10-6 W
20/08 Stefan Seifert
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
20/08 Erik Johansson
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
11/08 Jeri Lassila
M15 Turku
0-2 3-12 L
04/08 Aryan Shah
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
1-2 11-16 L
22/07 Lui Maxted
M15 Rognac
1-2 12-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oleg Kolninov vs Louis Larue?

Our model gives 68% to Louis Larue, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.