Tennis · W35 Wagga Wagga · 30/09, 02:00

Prediction: Amy Stevens vs Hikaru Sato

Team pages: Amy Stevens · Hikaru Sato

Prediction summary
Winner
30% 70%
Amy Stevens Hikaru Sato
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Amy Stevens 7-3 (W-L)
LLWWWLWWWW
Hikaru Sato 7-3 (W-L)
LLWLWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amy Stevens 1509 · Hikaru Sato 1490
Amy StevensHikaru Sato
Our model53%47%
Market11%89%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Amy Stevens makes many double faults (8.9/match).
  • Note: Hikaru Sato makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Amy StevensHikaru Sato
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 0% (2) –
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.3-1.3
Games (G-P)12.3-12.213.1-12.5
Aces1.93
Double faults8.94.3
1st serve %62.3%66.6%
Break %54.6%41.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amy Stevens

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/08 Mutsumi Uemura
W15 Brisbane
1-2 14-15 L
01/08 Laquisa Khan
W15 Brisbane
2-0 12-5 W
31/07 Natsuho Arakawa
W15 Brisbane
2-1 14-16 W
30/07 Yeri Hong
W15 Brisbane
2-0 12-8 W
28/07 Mana Kawamura
W15 Brisbane
2-1 17-11 W
23/07 I Wen Wan
W15 Brisbane
1-2 14-17 L
22/07 Himari Sato
W15 Brisbane
2-0 13-8 W
15/07 Chia Yi Tsao
W15 Brisbane
1-2 15-17 L
30/06 Oceane Dodin
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
29/06 Zoe Ulrich
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Hikaru Sato

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/09 Sakura Hosogi
W50 Nanao
1-2 14-15 L
24/09 Mutsumi Uemura
W50 Nanao
2-0 13-7 W
23/09 Kisa Yoshioka
W50 Nanao
2-1 13-13 W
16/09 Natsuki Yoshimoto
W35 Kyoto
1-2 12-16 L
07/09 Kayo Nishimura
W50 Guiyang
1-2 17-18 L
06/09 Yuno Kitahara
W50 Guiyang
2-0 12-5 W
31/08 Jiaqi Wang
W75 Tianjin
0-2 9-13 L
30/08 Yingqun Sun
W75 Tianjin
2-1 16-12 W
12/08 Julia Avdeeva
W35 Aldershot
0-2 8-12 L
11/08 Indianna Spink
W35 Aldershot
2-1 17-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amy Stevens vs Hikaru Sato?

Our model gives 70% to Hikaru Sato, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.