Tennis · W35 Wagga Wagga · 29/09, 05:00
Prediction: Nagi Hanatani vs Natsuho Arakawa
Team pages: Nagi Hanatani · Natsuho Arakawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Nagi Hanatani
Natsuho Arakawa
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nagi Hanatani
3-7 (W-L)
Natsuho Arakawa
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nagi Hanatani 1474 · Natsuho Arakawa 1456
| Nagi Hanatani | Natsuho Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nagi Hanatani makes many double faults (5.5/match).
- Note: Natsuho Arakawa makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Nagi Hanatani | Natsuho Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-12.4 | 10.7-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nagi Hanatani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Sayaka Ishii W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Mana Kawamura W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Yuka Hosoki W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Anri Nagata W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Kisa Yoshioka W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Soo Ha Jang W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/08 | Leticia Solakov W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Katerina Tsygourova W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Carolin Raschdorf W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Natsuho Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Rira Kosaka W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Remika Ohashi W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 02/09 | Clarissa Blomqvist W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Eloise Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Amy Stevens W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Ya-Yi Yang W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Julie Adele Bedard W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Maiko Uchijima W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nagi Hanatani vs Natsuho Arakawa?
Our model gives 51% to Nagi Hanatani, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.