Tennis · W35 Wagga Wagga · 30/09, 02:00
Prediction: Ashleigh Simes vs Belle Thompson
Team pages: Ashleigh Simes · Belle Thompson
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashleigh Simes
Belle Thompson
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ashleigh Simes
6-4 (W-L)
Belle Thompson
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ashleigh Simes
0–1
Belle Thompson
(1 last)
- 20 Mar0-1 9-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashleigh Simes 1568 · Belle Thompson 1612
| Ashleigh Simes | Belle Thompson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belle Thompson (rating 1568 vs 1612).
- Head-to-head: Ashleigh Simes 0–1 Belle Thompson (1).
- Note: Ashleigh Simes makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Ashleigh Simes | Belle Thompson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.8-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-7.2 | 11.4-4.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 7.4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 62.3% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
H2H · Ashleigh Simes 0 – 1 Belle Thompson (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ashleigh Simes 0–1 Belle Thompson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/21 UTR Pro Tennis Series Canberra Women | 0-1 | 9-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashleigh Simes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | I Wen Wan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Bianca Hristov UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Eva Lozitskaya UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/09 | Grace Cadwallader UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Violet Apisah UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Nikitha Desai UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Maahi Shah UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Taylah Lawless UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Belle Thompson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | I Wen Wan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Lily Fannin UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Sarah Munroe UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Piper Freeman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Christina Dodaj UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Violet Apisah UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Madison Schwarz UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Sarah Munroe UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashleigh Simes vs Belle Thompson?
Our model gives 61% to Belle Thompson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.