Tennis · W35 Wagga Wagga · 29/09, 05:00
Prediction: Mutsumi Uemura vs Eva Lopez
Team pages: Mutsumi Uemura · Eva Lopez
Prediction summary
Winner
Mutsumi Uemura
Eva Lopez
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Mutsumi Uemura
5-5 (W-L)
Eva Lopez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mutsumi Uemura 1527 · Eva Lopez 1524
| Mutsumi Uemura | Eva Lopez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mutsumi Uemura | Eva Lopez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.9 | 10.5-8.5 |
| Aces | 1.3 | – |
| Double faults | 2.9 | – |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | – |
| Break % | 50.2% | – |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mutsumi Uemura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Hikaru Sato W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Chihiro Muramatsu W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Hina Inoue W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Miyu Nakashima W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Onyu Choi W15 Yeongwol |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Dabin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Amy Stevens W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Sarah Mildren W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Eva Lopez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Caitlin Abela UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Nikitha Desai UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/09 | Lily Fannin UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Kai Ning Chanya Ng UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Chiara Di Tommaso UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Emily Johnson UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Rianna Alame UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Ashley Katz UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Juliet Santitto UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | I Wen Wan UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mutsumi Uemura vs Eva Lopez?
Our model gives 73% to Mutsumi Uemura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.