Tennis · W35 Wagga Wagga · 29/09, 03:30

Prediction: Yuka Hosoki vs Caitlin Baker

Team pages: Yuka Hosoki · Caitlin Baker

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Yuka Hosoki Caitlin Baker
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yuka Hosoki 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWLL
Caitlin Baker 2-8 (W-L)
LLWLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yuka Hosoki 1498 · Caitlin Baker 1465
Yuka HosokiCaitlin Baker
Our model55%45%
Market83%17%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Yuka Hosoki makes many double faults (4.4/match).
  • Note: Caitlin Baker makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Yuka HosokiCaitlin Baker
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard – 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1-10.9-1.5
Games (G-P)8.6-8.69-11.5
Aces10
Double faults4.44.9
1st serve %58.1%53.8%
Break %39.8%41.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yuka Hosoki

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Nagi Hanatani
W50 Nanao
0-2 8-12 L
12/08 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Astana
0-2 3-12 L
11/08 Aishwarya Jadhav
W15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
06/08 Zeel Desai
W15 Astana
0-2 6-12 L
04/08 Darya Kharlanova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W
03/08 Anastasiya Krymkova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-5 W
29/07 Ingkar Dyussebay
W15 Astana
0-2 2-12 L
28/07 Zhanel Rustemova
W15 Astana
2-0 13-9 W
27/07 Aishwarya Jadhav
W15 Astana
2-0 13-5 W
25/06 Mayuka Aikawa
W15 Sapporo
0-2 5-12 L

Caitlin Baker

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/08 Sofia Savic
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
27/08 Bridget Mihulka
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
2-1 14-12 W
26/08 Laquisa Khan
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
25/08 Chelsea Stergiopoulos
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
24/08 Ashley Katz
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
28/07 Ami Dalla Pozza
W15 Brisbane
0-2 10-13 L
23/07 Destanee Aiava
W15 Brisbane
0-2 3-12 L
22/07 Ava-Monet Sycamore
W15 Brisbane
2-0 13-5 W
21/07 Madison Schwarz
W15 Brisbane
2-1 7-8 W
07/06 Kaylah McPhee
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yuka Hosoki vs Caitlin Baker?

Our model gives 70% to Yuka Hosoki, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.