Tennis · W35 Wagga Wagga · 29/09, 02:00
Prediction: Riko Kikawada vs Shiho Shibata
Team pages: Riko Kikawada · Shiho Shibata
Prediction summary
Winner
Riko Kikawada
Shiho Shibata
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Riko Kikawada
7-3 (W-L)
Shiho Shibata
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riko Kikawada 1555 · Shiho Shibata 1508
| Riko Kikawada | Shiho Shibata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riko Kikawada (rating 1555 vs 1508).
- Note: Riko Kikawada makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Riko Kikawada | Shiho Shibata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.6 | 9.4-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 63.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riko Kikawada
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 11/09 | Yasmine Mansouri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Karla Popovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Julie Myatovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 04/09 | Clarissa Blomqvist W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Yiru Chen W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Haruna Arakawa W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/08 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Clarissa Blomqvist W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Elyse Tse W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Shiho Shibata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa W15 Campulung |
1-2 | 7-8 | L |
| 21/07 | Renee Alame W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Tori Russell W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Sara Mickoska W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Xi Luo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Jeong Moon W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/05 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Ella Idzikowski UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/05 | Brooke Komorowski UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riko Kikawada vs Shiho Shibata?
Our model gives 68% to Riko Kikawada, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.