Tennis · W100 Templeton · 28/09, 23:30
Prediction: Reina Goto vs Kate Fakih
Team pages: Reina Goto · Kate Fakih
Prediction summary
Winner
Reina Goto
Kate Fakih
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Reina Goto
4-6 (W-L)
Kate Fakih
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reina Goto 1468 · Kate Fakih 1593
| Reina Goto | Kate Fakih | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kate Fakih (rating 1468 vs 1593).
- Kate Fakih is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Reina Goto | Kate Fakih | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.1 | 12.5-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 54.9% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reina Goto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Johanne C Svendsen W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Clervie Ngounoue W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Jantje Tilbuerger W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Mei Yamaguchi W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Victoria Osuigwe W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Anri Nagata W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Misaki Matsuda W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Kate Fakih
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 12/09 | Monika Ekstrand UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/09 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Alyssa Ahn W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Alexis Nguyen W35 Florence |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hina Inoue W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Tatum Evans W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Maria Kononova W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reina Goto vs Kate Fakih?
Our model gives 53% to Kate Fakih, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.