Tennis · W100 Templeton · 28/09, 20:30
Prediction: Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Kelly Keller
Team pages: Lucciana Perez Alarcon · Kelly Keller
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Kelly Keller
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
7-3 (W-L)
Kelly Keller
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1538 · Kelly Keller 1539
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Kelly Keller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kelly Keller makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Kelly Keller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.5 | 9.9-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 53.5% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 59.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Janae Preston W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Emma Kamper W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Reina Goto W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Ena Koike W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Fangran Tian WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Chacabuco |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/08 | Lorena Schaedel W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Melina Maria Maruca W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/07 | Daria Egorova W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Kelly Keller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Anastasia Lizunova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Kamilla Bartone W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Andrea Roots W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 03/09 | Johanna Silva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Kristina Belkova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/08 | Kailey Evans UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Maria Shmakova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Anna Linn Moll UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Yuyun Chen UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Kelly Keller?
Our model gives 69% to Lucciana Perez Alarcon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.