Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 28/09, 19:00
Prediction: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Daniil Ostapenkov
Team pages: Quinn Vandecasteele · Daniil Ostapenkov
Prediction summary
Winner
Quinn Vandecasteele
Daniil Ostapenkov
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Quinn Vandecasteele
6-4 (W-L)
Daniil Ostapenkov
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Quinn Vandecasteele
0–1
Daniil Ostapenkov
(1 last)
- 20 Sept1-2 14-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quinn Vandecasteele 1528 · Daniil Ostapenkov 1507
| Quinn Vandecasteele | Daniil Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Quinn Vandecasteele 0–1 Daniil Ostapenkov (1).
- Note: Daniil Ostapenkov makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Quinn Vandecasteele | Daniil Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.5 | 11.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Quinn Vandecasteele 0 – 1 Daniil Ostapenkov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Quinn Vandecasteele 0–1 Daniil Ostapenkov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/26 Challenger San Diego | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quinn Vandecasteele
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Preston Stearns Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 14/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Noah Zamora Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 22/08 | Li Tu ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Ajeet Rai Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Daniil Ostapenkov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Ilija Palavestra Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Timo Legout Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Gus Grumet Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Florent Bax Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/08 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Yurii Dzhavakian Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Tiago Torres M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quinn Vandecasteele vs Daniil Ostapenkov?
Our model gives 58% to Quinn Vandecasteele, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.