Tennis · W15 Trelew · 30/09, 15:00
Prediction: Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi vs Maria Florencia Urrutia
Team pages: Maria Florencia Urrutia
Prediction summary
Winner
Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi
Maria Florencia Urrutia
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi
4-6 (W-L)
Maria Florencia Urrutia
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi 1479 · Maria Florencia Urrutia 1539
| Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | Maria Florencia Urrutia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Florencia Urrutia (rating 1479 vs 1539).
- Note: Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi | Maria Florencia Urrutia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.4 | 10.2-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 54.8% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 59.3% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Lorena Schaedel W35 Chacabuco |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 05/08 | Mora Carrocera W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Florencia Massardo Brain W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Josefina Estevez W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Marie Vogt W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Capucine Cedillo-Vayson de Pradenne W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Margaux Maquet W15 Madrid |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 10/06 | Valentina Abril Bruno W15 Madrid |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 31/03 | Luisina Giovannini W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez ITF W35 Neuquen |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
Maria Florencia Urrutia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Luna Maria Cinalli W15 Pilar |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Ana Julieta Lopez Ocampos W15 Pilar |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Natalia Sousa Salazar W15 Pilar |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/09 | Victoria Bosio W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 05/09 | Fernanda Labrana W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Agustina Tarantola W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Josefina Estevez Others · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Victoria Bosio W35 Chacabuco |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi vs Maria Florencia Urrutia?
Our model gives 69% to Maria Florencia Urrutia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.