Tennis · W15 Trelew · 30/09, 15:00
Prediction: Agustina Daniela Duarte vs Lourdes Ayala
Team pages: Agustina Daniela Duarte · Lourdes Ayala
Prediction summary
Winner
Agustina Daniela Duarte
Lourdes Ayala
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Agustina Daniela Duarte
4-6 (W-L)
Lourdes Ayala
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Agustina Daniela Duarte 1446 · Lourdes Ayala 1532
| Agustina Daniela Duarte | Lourdes Ayala | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lourdes Ayala (rating 1446 vs 1532).
- Lourdes Ayala is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Lourdes Ayala makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Agustina Daniela Duarte | Lourdes Ayala | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-10.3 | 9.7-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Agustina Daniela Duarte
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Ana Julieta Lopez Ocampos W15 Pilar |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Camila Markus Others · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Romina Ccuno W35 Chacabuco |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Julia Caffarena W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Caira Delfina Vega Gudino W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Julia Caffarena W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/03 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano W35 Junin · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/01 | Alisa Danilova W35 Buenos Aires |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Lourdes Ayala
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W15 Pilar |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Luna Maria Cinalli W15 Pilar |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/09 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Pilar |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Felicitas Simon Padros W15 Pilar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Zoe Doldan W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/09 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre Others · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Luiza Fullana W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Lan Mi W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Sabrina Dias W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Agustina Daniela Duarte vs Lourdes Ayala?
Our model gives 76% to Lourdes Ayala, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.