Tennis · W15 Trelew · 30/09, 15:00
Prediction: Natalia Sousa Salazar vs Emily Zornada
Team pages: Natalia Sousa Salazar · Emily Zornada
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalia Sousa Salazar
Emily Zornada
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Natalia Sousa Salazar
2-8 (W-L)
Emily Zornada
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalia Sousa Salazar 1420 · Emily Zornada 1469
| Natalia Sousa Salazar | Emily Zornada | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emily Zornada (rating 1420 vs 1469).
- Note: Emily Zornada makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Natalia Sousa Salazar | Emily Zornada | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.7 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 6-11.5 | 9.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 52% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 54.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalia Sousa Salazar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Pilar |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Carola Celina Sosa Others · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Ana Candiotto W35 Barueri |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Ana Candiotto W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Maria Fernanda Lopes W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Beatriz Guerra W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Chacabuco |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Beatriz Guerra W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Emily Zornada
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Camila Romero W15 Pilar |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Victoria Bosio W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Maria Ines Nunez W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/08 | Camila Rodero W35 Chacabuco |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Camila Romero W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Luciana Moyano W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Ana Filipa Santos W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-1 | 9-10 | L |
| 22/06 | Florencia Massardo Brain W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Romina Ccuno W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Chiara Di Genova W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalia Sousa Salazar vs Emily Zornada?
Our model gives 65% to Emily Zornada, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.