Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 28/09, 17:00
Prediction: Oliver Okonkwo vs Shunsuke Mitsui
Team pages: Oliver Okonkwo · Shunsuke Mitsui
Prediction summary
Winner
Oliver Okonkwo
Shunsuke Mitsui
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Oliver Okonkwo
9-1 (W-L)
Shunsuke Mitsui
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Oliver Okonkwo
0–1
Shunsuke Mitsui
(1 last)
- 03 Aug0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oliver Okonkwo 1564 · Shunsuke Mitsui 1518
| Oliver Okonkwo | Shunsuke Mitsui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Okonkwo (rating 1564 vs 1518).
- Oliver Okonkwo dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 45.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Oliver Okonkwo 0–1 Shunsuke Mitsui (1).
Statistics
| Oliver Okonkwo | Shunsuke Mitsui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.6 | 9.9-8.3 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 76.3% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Oliver Okonkwo 0 – 1 Shunsuke Mitsui (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oliver Okonkwo 0–1 Shunsuke Mitsui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/23 ITF M25 Decatur | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oliver Okonkwo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Andres Martin Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Douglas Yaffa UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Andrei Caragea UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Noah Richer UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Chad Miller UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Vincent Yang UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/08 | Jakub Vrba M15 Champaign |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Felix Corwin M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Nathan Ponwith M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Jesse Flores M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Shunsuke Mitsui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Ryan Colby Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Shunsuke Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Tung-Lin Wu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oliver Okonkwo vs Shunsuke Mitsui?
Our model gives 53% to Shunsuke Mitsui, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.