Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 28/09, 14:00
Prediction: Mathys Erhard vs Alberto Barroso Campos
Team pages: Mathys Erhard · Alberto Barroso Campos
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathys Erhard
Alberto Barroso Campos
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Mathys Erhard
8-2 (W-L)
Alberto Barroso Campos
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mathys Erhard
0–1
Alberto Barroso Campos
(1 last)
- 01 Dec0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathys Erhard 1557 · Alberto Barroso Campos 1478
| Mathys Erhard | Alberto Barroso Campos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathys Erhard (rating 1557 vs 1478).
- Mathys Erhard dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 49.4% break avg.
- Mathys Erhard is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mathys Erhard 0–1 Alberto Barroso Campos (1).
Statistics
| Mathys Erhard | Alberto Barroso Campos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-10.6 | 11.7-11.7 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 77.7% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Mathys Erhard 0 – 1 Alberto Barroso Campos (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mathys Erhard 0–1 Alberto Barroso Campos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/20 ITF M15 Getafe Madrid | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathys Erhard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Paul Theate Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Benjamin Pietri Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Charles Broom Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Anton Shepp Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Olaf Pieczkowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Alberto Barroso Campos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/09 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 06/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexander Bravo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Tiago Pereira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 12/08 | Salvador Monteiro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathys Erhard vs Alberto Barroso Campos?
Our model gives 69% to Mathys Erhard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.