Tennis · M15 Baku · 28/09, 09:30

Prediction: Thomas Drayton vs Louis Allen

Team pages: Thomas Drayton · Louis Allen

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Thomas Drayton Louis Allen
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Thomas Drayton 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLLWLWL
Louis Allen 0-10 (W-L)
LLLLLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thomas Drayton 1454 · Louis Allen 1402
Thomas DraytonLouis Allen
Our model57%43%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thomas Drayton (rating 1454 vs 1402).

Statistics

Thomas DraytonLouis Allen
Win %30%10%
Win % · Hard 25% (4) 0% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.40.2-1.9
Games (G-P)8-10.14.8-11.3
Aces1.21.1
Double faults3.73
1st serve %63%54.8%
Break %28.5%15.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thomas Drayton

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Ivan Gretskiy
M15 Baku
0-2 10-13 L
21/09 Oleg Kolninov
M15 Baku
2-0 12-5 W
12/08 Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Warsaw
0-2 6-12 L
11/08 Filip Kosinski
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-6 W
02/08 Pablo Perez Ramos
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/07 Niels Villard
M15 Dublin
0-2 8-12 L
13/07 Iker Urribarrens
M15 Castelo Branco
1-2 7-11 L
20/05 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/05 Rayen Hermassi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/05 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Louis Allen

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Liam Delicata
M15 Baku
0-2 6-12 L
31/08 Gheorghe Claudiu Schinteie
M15 Buzau
0-2 4-12 L
26/08 Giacomo Crisostomo
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 1-9 L
25/08 Gabriel Sardo
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-1 10-11 W
18/08 Giovanni Ciocca
M15 Arad
0-2 7-12 L
21/07 Vlad Cristian Breazu
M25 Bacau
0-2 3-12 L
23/06 Isaac Becroft
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
16/06 Anas Bennour Dit Sahli
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
28/04 Filippo Callerio
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-8 L
21/04 Noah Karma
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thomas Drayton vs Louis Allen?

Our model gives 67% to Thomas Drayton, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.