Tennis · M15 Baku · 28/09, 08:00

Prediction: Evangelos Kypriotis vs Alexey Dubinin

Team pages: Evangelos Kypriotis · Alexey Dubinin

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Evangelos Kypriotis Alexey Dubinin
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Evangelos Kypriotis 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWWWLLL
Alexey Dubinin 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Evangelos Kypriotis 1496 · Alexey Dubinin 1427
Evangelos KypriotisAlexey Dubinin
Our model60%40%
Market83%17%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Evangelos Kypriotis (rating 1496 vs 1427).
  • Evangelos Kypriotis is in better form: 50% recent wins.

Statistics

Evangelos KypriotisAlexey Dubinin
Win %50%20%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.10.6-1.7
Games (G-P)9.8-9.77.1-10.6
Aces1.20.7
Double faults3.13.5
1st serve %64.6%58.8%
Break %35.2%45.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Evangelos Kypriotis

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Millen Hurrion
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
18/08 Juliusz Bienkiewicz
M15 Krakow
0-2 8-12 L
30/07 Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Gentofte
0-2 6-12 L
29/07 Matas Vasiliauskas
M25 Gentofte
2-0 10-2 W
27/07 Alvar Lange
M25 Gentofte
2-0 12-7 W
26/07 Asger Sorensen
M25 Gentofte
2-0 12-6 W
20/05 Daniil Ostapenkov
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
20/05 Evgeny Tyurnev
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-1 16-14 W
18/05 Mikhail Kulyagin
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
14/05 Saba Purtseladze
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L

Alexey Dubinin

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Ilya Ignatov
M15 Baku
0-2 6-12 L
01/09 Axel Garcian
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
0-2 7-12 L
30/08 Siddharth Gowthaman
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 12-1 W
23/08 Matis Roche
M15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 7-13 L
13/07 Andrea Brignacca
M25 Uriage
0-2 3-12 L
03/06 Nicolas Garcia Longo
M25 Bistrita · ~Clay
1-2 10-15 L
02/06 Valentin Vanta
M25 Bistrita · ~Clay
2-1 10-9 W
26/05 Filippo Mazzola
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
04/05 Artem Bukin
M15 Islamabad · ~Hard
1-2 9-8 L
30/04 Samir Hamza Reguig
M15 Islamabad · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Evangelos Kypriotis vs Alexey Dubinin?

Our model gives 73% to Evangelos Kypriotis, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.