Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 28/09, 10:00
Prediction: Niels Visker vs Niels McDonald
Team pages: Niels Visker · Niels McDonald
Prediction summary
Winner
Niels Visker
Niels McDonald
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Niels Visker
7-3 (W-L)
Niels McDonald
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niels Visker 1516 · Niels McDonald 1459
| Niels Visker | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niels Visker (rating 1516 vs 1459).
- Niels Visker dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 40.8% break avg.
- Note: Niels Visker makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Niels Visker | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.5 | 9-11.3 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 80.5% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niels Visker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Tom Paris Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 31/08 | Szymon Kielan Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Guilherme Valdoleiros Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/07 | Manuel Mazza Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Patrik Niklas-Salminen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Niels McDonald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Zaccharie Cado Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niels Visker vs Niels McDonald?
Our model gives 54% to Niels Visker, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.