Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 29/09, 16:00
Prediction: Bryce Nakashima vs Jack Kennedy
Team pages: Bryce Nakashima · Jack Kennedy
Prediction summary
Winner
Bryce Nakashima
Jack Kennedy
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Bryce Nakashima
9-1 (W-L)
Jack Kennedy
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bryce Nakashima 1585 · Jack Kennedy 1461
| Bryce Nakashima | Jack Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bryce Nakashima (rating 1585 vs 1461).
- Bryce Nakashima dominates on serve: 7 aces and 52.7% break avg.
- Bryce Nakashima is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Bryce Nakashima | Jack Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.5 | 9.5-12.7 |
| Aces | 7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bryce Nakashima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Timo Legout Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 14/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Jakub Vrba M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/08 | Preston Stearns M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/08 | Jack Anthrop M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Tyler Bowers M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Rocco Piatti M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Jack Kennedy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Liam Draxl Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Evan Zhu M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/05 | Alex Marti Pujolras M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Keaton Hance M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 21/05 | David Naharro M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bryce Nakashima vs Jack Kennedy?
Our model gives 69% to Bryce Nakashima, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.