Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 29/09, 16:00
Prediction: Nikita Filin vs Aidan Mayo
Team pages: Nikita Filin · Aidan Mayo
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikita Filin
Aidan Mayo
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Filin
6-4 (W-L)
Aidan Mayo
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikita Filin 1557 · Aidan Mayo 1566
| Nikita Filin | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nikita Filin makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Aidan Mayo makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Nikita Filin | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.9 | 12.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 5 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 46% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikita Filin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Ozan Baris M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Marko Mesarovic M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Naoya Honda M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Ethan Muza M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Naoya Honda M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Jelani Sarr M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Tighe Brunetti M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Aidan Mayo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Jordan Lee Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/08 | Joao Goncalves Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikita Filin vs Aidan Mayo?
Our model gives 62% to Aidan Mayo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.