Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 29/09, 16:00
Prediction: Mees Rottgering vs Edward Winter
Team pages: Mees Rottgering · Edward Winter
Prediction summary
Winner
Mees Rottgering
Edward Winter
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mees Rottgering
7-3 (W-L)
Edward Winter
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mees Rottgering 1543 · Edward Winter 1503
| Mees Rottgering | Edward Winter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mees Rottgering (rating 1543 vs 1503).
Statistics
| Mees Rottgering | Edward Winter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.5 | 10.8-9.3 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mees Rottgering
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Tomas Machac ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Jan Choinski ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 23/08 | Hugo Grenier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Hunter Heck ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Henry Searle Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Garrett Johns Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Benjamin Kittay Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Edward Winter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Keegan Smith Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | John Chin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Steven Christie Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Dominick Mosejczuk Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mees Rottgering vs Edward Winter?
Our model gives 63% to Mees Rottgering, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.