Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 29/09, 16:00
Prediction: Braden Shick vs Ozan Baris
Team pages: Braden Shick · Ozan Baris
Prediction summary
Winner
Braden Shick
Ozan Baris
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Braden Shick
4-6 (W-L)
Ozan Baris
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Braden Shick 1495 · Ozan Baris 1526
| Braden Shick | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Braden Shick | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12 | 10.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 29.2% | 29.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Braden Shick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Clement Tabur US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Andy Andrade Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Alex Rybakov Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Luca Pow M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Mitchell Sheldon M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Liam Broady Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Braden Shick vs Ozan Baris?
Our model gives 52% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.