Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 29/09, 16:00
Prediction: Igor Marcondes vs Andrew Fenty
Team pages: Igor Marcondes · Andrew Fenty
Prediction summary
Winner
Igor Marcondes
Andrew Fenty
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Igor Marcondes
2-8 (W-L)
Andrew Fenty
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Igor Marcondes 1553 · Andrew Fenty 1497
| Igor Marcondes | Andrew Fenty | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Igor Marcondes (rating 1553 vs 1497).
- Igor Marcondes dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 46.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Igor Marcondes | Andrew Fenty | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.6 | 10.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 34.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Igor Marcondes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 25/09 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 21/07 | Linus Lagerbohm Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Andrew Fenty
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 28/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Evan Zhu Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Hunter Heck Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Evan King Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Igor Marcondes vs Andrew Fenty?
Our model gives 58% to Igor Marcondes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.