Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 27/09, 19:00
Prediction: Duncan Chan vs Denis Petak
Team pages: Duncan Chan · Denis Petak
Prediction summary
Winner
Duncan Chan
Denis Petak
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Duncan Chan
2-8 (W-L)
Denis Petak
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Duncan Chan 1481 · Denis Petak 1553
| Duncan Chan | Denis Petak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Denis Petak (rating 1481 vs 1553).
- Denis Petak is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Duncan Chan makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Duncan Chan | Denis Petak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-13 | 11.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 68% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Duncan Chan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 01/08 | Hugo Gaston ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/07 | James McCabe Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Timo Legout M25 Laval |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Denis Petak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Lucio Ratti M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/06 | Nik Mikovic M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Matyas Fuele M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Oskar Jansson M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Oleksii Krutykh M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Roman Postolka M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 13/05 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Louny · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/03 | Xavier Jakubovic UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Duncan Chan vs Denis Petak?
Our model gives 64% to Duncan Chan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.