Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 27/09, 22:00
Prediction: Ilija Palavestra vs Daniil Ostapenkov
Team pages: Ilija Palavestra · Daniil Ostapenkov
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilija Palavestra
Daniil Ostapenkov
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Ilija Palavestra
5-5 (W-L)
Daniil Ostapenkov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilija Palavestra 1492 · Daniil Ostapenkov 1502
| Ilija Palavestra | Daniil Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ilija Palavestra | Daniil Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.8 | 11-11.5 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilija Palavestra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Joshua Peck M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Vignesh Gogineni M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Leo Vithoontien M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 29/07 | Malhar Patel M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Alexander Bernard M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Drew Van Orderlain M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Kaipo Marshall M15 Boca Raton |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/03 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Montreal |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 11/03 | Adam Faragcao M15 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Daniil Ostapenkov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Timo Legout Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Gus Grumet Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Florent Bax Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/08 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Yurii Dzhavakian Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Tiago Torres M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Lui Maxted M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilija Palavestra vs Daniil Ostapenkov?
Our model gives 64% to Daniil Ostapenkov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.