Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 27/09, 22:00
Prediction: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Preston Stearns
Team pages: Quinn Vandecasteele · Preston Stearns
Prediction summary
Winner
Quinn Vandecasteele
Preston Stearns
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Quinn Vandecasteele
6-4 (W-L)
Preston Stearns
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quinn Vandecasteele 1527 · Preston Stearns 1572
| Quinn Vandecasteele | Preston Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Preston Stearns (rating 1527 vs 1572).
- Note: Preston Stearns makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Quinn Vandecasteele | Preston Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.9 | 12.4-8 |
| Aces | 5 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 77.6% |
| Break % | 54.2% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quinn Vandecasteele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 14/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Noah Zamora Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 22/08 | Li Tu ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Ajeet Rai Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Patricio Alvarado Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Preston Stearns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Joshua Peck M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Noa Vukadin M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Jon Gamble M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Simon Caldwell UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Gregory Bernadsky UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Henry Lessard UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Adrian Treacy UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/11 | Jack Anthrop ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quinn Vandecasteele vs Preston Stearns?
Our model gives 57% to Quinn Vandecasteele, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.