Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 27/09, 23:30
Prediction: Alafia Ayeni vs Michael Bassem Sobhy
Team pages: Alafia Ayeni · Michael Bassem Sobhy
Prediction summary
Winner
Alafia Ayeni
Michael Bassem Sobhy
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alafia Ayeni
5-5 (W-L)
Michael Bassem Sobhy
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alafia Ayeni 1456 · Michael Bassem Sobhy 1476
| Alafia Ayeni | Michael Bassem Sobhy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alafia Ayeni makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Alafia Ayeni | Michael Bassem Sobhy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.4 | 11-12 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alafia Ayeni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Li Tu Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Adrien Burdet Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Zach Stephens Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Michael Bassem Sobhy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Tito Chavez M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Columbia |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/07 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/05 | Aaron Funk M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/05 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 14/05 | Bekkhan Atlangeriev M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alafia Ayeni vs Michael Bassem Sobhy?
Our model gives 62% to Alafia Ayeni, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.