Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 27/09, 19:00
Prediction: Matthew Forbes vs Alex Rybakov
Team pages: Matthew Forbes · Alex Rybakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Forbes
Alex Rybakov
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Forbes
4-6 (W-L)
Alex Rybakov
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matthew Forbes
0–1
Alex Rybakov
(1 last)
- 15 Feb0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Forbes 1478 · Alex Rybakov 1496
| Matthew Forbes | Alex Rybakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Matthew Forbes 0–1 Alex Rybakov (1).
Statistics
| Matthew Forbes | Alex Rybakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.1 | 11.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 76.3% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 31.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Matthew Forbes 0 – 1 Alex Rybakov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew Forbes 0–1 Alex Rybakov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/24 M15 Palm Coast | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Forbes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Jie Cui Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Trevor Svajda M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Jie Cui M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Alex Rybakov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Karue Sell Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Dan Martin Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Oliver Bonding Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Billy Blaydes M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Matthew Summers M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Forbes vs Alex Rybakov?
Our model gives 53% to Alex Rybakov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.