Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 27/09, 20:30
Prediction: Nicolas Oliveira vs Li Tu
Team pages: Nicolas Oliveira · Li Tu
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Oliveira
Li Tu
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Oliveira
4-6 (W-L)
Li Tu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Oliveira 1489 · Li Tu 1451
| Nicolas Oliveira | Li Tu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nicolas Oliveira | Li Tu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.7 | 10.7-13.1 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 66% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 22.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Oliveira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M25 Londrina |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Andre Souza M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Martin Antonio Vergara del Puerto M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/07 | Nicolas Zanellato M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Alex Hernandez M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 13/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Li Tu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/04 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 18/04 | Charles Broom Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 17/04 | Blake Ellis Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/04 | Keegan Smith Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Oliveira vs Li Tu?
Our model gives 56% to Li Tu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.