Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 27/09, 16:00
Prediction: Ryan Colby vs Shunsuke Mitsui
Team pages: Ryan Colby · Shunsuke Mitsui
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Colby
Shunsuke Mitsui
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Colby
4-6 (W-L)
Shunsuke Mitsui
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryan Colby
0–1
Shunsuke Mitsui
(1 last)
- 07 Jan0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Colby 1472 · Shunsuke Mitsui 1523
| Ryan Colby | Shunsuke Mitsui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shunsuke Mitsui (rating 1472 vs 1523).
- Head-to-head: Ryan Colby 0–1 Shunsuke Mitsui (1).
- Note: Ryan Colby makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Ryan Colby | Shunsuke Mitsui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.2 | 10.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 64% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Ryan Colby 0 – 1 Shunsuke Mitsui (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryan Colby 0–1 Shunsuke Mitsui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/26 M25 Winston-Salem | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Colby
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Joao Mendes M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Jakub Vrba M15 Champaign |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Nikola Djosic M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 02/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Louisville |
0-1 | 3-7 | L |
| 07/07 | Yuta Shimizu M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Shunsuke Mitsui
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Shunsuke Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Tung-Lin Wu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Pawit Sornlaksup Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Colby vs Shunsuke Mitsui?
Our model gives 65% to Shunsuke Mitsui, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.