Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 29/09, 10:00
Prediction: Billy Harris vs Felix Balshaw
Team pages: Billy Harris · Felix Balshaw
Prediction summary
Winner
Billy Harris
Felix Balshaw
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Billy Harris
6-4 (W-L)
Felix Balshaw
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Billy Harris
0–1
Felix Balshaw
(1 last)
- 04 Sept1-2 17-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Billy Harris 1495 · Felix Balshaw 1559
| Billy Harris | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felix Balshaw (rating 1495 vs 1559).
- Head-to-head: Billy Harris 0–1 Felix Balshaw (1).
- Note: Billy Harris makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Felix Balshaw makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Billy Harris | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-11.8 | 13-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 7 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 73% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Billy Harris 0 – 1 Felix Balshaw (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Billy Harris 0–1 Felix Balshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/26 Challenger Manacor | 1-2 | 17-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Billy Harris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Toby Samuel US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Gonzalo Bueno US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Felix Balshaw
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Sebastian Gorzny ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/08 | Luca Pow ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Billy Harris vs Felix Balshaw?
Our model gives 59% to Felix Balshaw, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.