Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 29/09, 10:00
Prediction: Liam Broady vs Dominic Stephan Stricker
Team pages: Liam Broady · Dominic Stephan Stricker
Prediction summary
Winner
Liam Broady
Dominic Stephan Stricker
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Liam Broady
3-7 (W-L)
Dominic Stephan Stricker
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Liam Broady
0–1
Dominic Stephan Stricker
(1 last)
- 10 Mar1-2 15-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liam Broady 1401 · Dominic Stephan Stricker 1561
| Liam Broady | Dominic Stephan Stricker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dominic Stephan Stricker (rating 1401 vs 1561).
- Dominic Stephan Stricker is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Liam Broady 0–1 Dominic Stephan Stricker (1).
- Note: Liam Broady makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Liam Broady | Dominic Stephan Stricker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-13.5 | 11.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 28.3% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Liam Broady 0 – 1 Dominic Stephan Stricker (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Liam Broady 0–1 Dominic Stephan Stricker
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/23 Challenger Lugano | 1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liam Broady
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Marco Cecchinato US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Ozan Baris Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
Dominic Stephan Stricker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Joao Fonseca Davis Cup |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Martin Krumich Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Raphael Perot Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liam Broady vs Dominic Stephan Stricker?
Our model gives 69% to Dominic Stephan Stricker, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.