Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 29/09, 10:00
Prediction: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate
Team pages: Philip Henning · Tristan Schoolkate
Prediction summary
Winner
Philip Henning
Tristan Schoolkate
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Philip Henning
9-1 (W-L)
Tristan Schoolkate
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Philip Henning 1589 · Tristan Schoolkate 1554
| Philip Henning | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Philip Henning | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.6 | 15-12.7 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 10.2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 78.2% |
| Break % | 45% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Philip Henning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 21/08 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Diogo Coelho M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/08 | Dan Added M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Tristan Schoolkate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 19/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 16/09 | Marek Gengel Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 01/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 28/08 | Liam Draxl US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/08 | Seong Chan Hong US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Jack Secord US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate?
Our model gives 57% to Tristan Schoolkate, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.