Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 29/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mark Lajal vs Lucas Poullain
Team pages: Mark Lajal · Lucas Poullain
Prediction summary
Winner
Mark Lajal
Lucas Poullain
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mark Lajal
6-4 (W-L)
Lucas Poullain
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mark Lajal
2–0
Lucas Poullain
(2 last)
- 23 Sept2-1 16-16W
- 14 Feb2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mark Lajal 1563 · Lucas Poullain 1534
| Mark Lajal | Lucas Poullain | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mark Lajal 2–0 Lucas Poullain (2).
Statistics
| Mark Lajal | Lucas Poullain | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.9 | 10.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Mark Lajal 2 – 0 Lucas Poullain (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mark Lajal 2–0 Lucas Poullain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/24 Challenger Orleans | 2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/02/24 Challenger Cherbourg | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mark Lajal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | David Goffin Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/09 | Lenny Couturier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Lucas Poullain
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Michael Geerts Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 19/08 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mark Lajal vs Lucas Poullain?
Our model gives 69% to Mark Lajal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.