Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 27/09, 11:30
Prediction: Niels Visker vs Tom Paris
Team pages: Niels Visker
Prediction summary
Winner
Niels Visker
Tom Paris
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Niels Visker
7-3 (W-L)
Tom Paris
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Niels Visker
1–0
Tom Paris
(1 last)
- 29 Oct2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niels Visker 1522 · Tom Paris 1431
| Niels Visker | Tom Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niels Visker (rating 1522 vs 1431).
- Niels Visker is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Niels Visker 1–0 Tom Paris (1).
- Note: Niels Visker makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Niels Visker | Tom Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.2 | 10.8-12.3 |
| Aces | 8 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 80.8% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Niels Visker 1 – 0 Tom Paris (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Niels Visker 1–0 Tom Paris
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/25 M25 Glasgow | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niels Visker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 31/08 | Szymon Kielan Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Guilherme Valdoleiros Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/07 | Manuel Mazza Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Patrik Niklas-Salminen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/07 | Vesa Ahti Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Tom Paris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Yunseong Chung Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 06/04 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 20/03 | Raphael Perot M25 Toulouse |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 19/03 | Kenny de Schepper M25 Toulouse |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/03 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Toulouse |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 10/03 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Cherbourg · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/03 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Thionville · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niels Visker vs Tom Paris?
Our model gives 61% to Niels Visker, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.