Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 27/09, 16:00
Prediction: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Thijs Boogaard
Team pages: Alberto Barroso Campos · Thijs Boogaard
Prediction summary
Winner
Alberto Barroso Campos
Thijs Boogaard
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alberto Barroso Campos
6-4 (W-L)
Thijs Boogaard
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alberto Barroso Campos 1445 · Thijs Boogaard 1503
| Alberto Barroso Campos | Thijs Boogaard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thijs Boogaard (rating 1445 vs 1503).
- Thijs Boogaard is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Alberto Barroso Campos makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alberto Barroso Campos | Thijs Boogaard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-13.1 | 10.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alberto Barroso Campos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/09 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 06/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexander Bravo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Tiago Pereira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 12/08 | Salvador Monteiro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Thijs Boogaard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Lucas Renard M25 Falun |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Love Nyqvist M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/09 | Sergey Petrov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Conor Gannon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Zian Vanderstappen M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 21/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alberto Barroso Campos vs Thijs Boogaard?
Our model gives 67% to Thijs Boogaard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.