Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 27/09, 16:00
Prediction: Mathys Erhard vs Paul Theate
Team pages: Mathys Erhard · Paul Theate
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathys Erhard
Paul Theate
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mathys Erhard
8-2 (W-L)
Paul Theate
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathys Erhard 1535 · Paul Theate 1496
| Mathys Erhard | Paul Theate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mathys Erhard dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 51.1% break avg.
- Note: Mathys Erhard makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Mathys Erhard | Paul Theate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-11.5 | 10.3-9.1 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathys Erhard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Benjamin Pietri Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Charles Broom Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Anton Shepp Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Olaf Pieczkowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Paul Theate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Arthur Nagel M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Arthur Lenglet M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Yannis Batsabaken M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Stefan Seifert M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Yanis Peterhans M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/09 | Jack McGary M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Martin Simon M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Justin Lenders M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Gustavo Masiero M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 22/06 | Louis Boilevin M25 Montauban · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathys Erhard vs Paul Theate?
Our model gives 74% to Mathys Erhard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.