Tennis · UTR Pro Norfolk · 26/09, 16:00
Prediction: Julien Doitteau vs Gabriel Elicha Navas
Prediction summary
Winner
Julien Doitteau
Gabriel Elicha Navas
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Julien Doitteau
4-6 (W-L)
Gabriel Elicha Navas
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julien Doitteau 1471 · Gabriel Elicha Navas 1564
| Julien Doitteau | Gabriel Elicha Navas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriel Elicha Navas (rating 1471 vs 1564).
- Gabriel Elicha Navas is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Julien Doitteau | Gabriel Elicha Navas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-9.9 | 10.9-5.7 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 59.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julien Doitteau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Jean Karim Olivier De Sardan UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/09 | Ryan Morgan UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Drew Hedgecoe UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Tim Hammes UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Sidane Pontjodikromo UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Eyal Shumilov UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Vaclav Schneider UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Paul Colin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Alejandro Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Gabriel Elicha Navas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Kasper Kulpa UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Szymon Malecki UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Felix Obermair UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Christopher Thies UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/11 | James Weber UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/11 | Brody Nejedly-Krall UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/11 | Carl Labitzke UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/10 | Nicolas Kobelt UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Luke Bracks UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julien Doitteau vs Gabriel Elicha Navas?
Our model gives 64% to Gabriel Elicha Navas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.