Tennis · UTR Pro Norfolk · 26/09, 20:30
Prediction: Ryan Morgan vs Gordon Gallagher
Team pages: Ryan Morgan · Gordon Gallagher
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Morgan
Gordon Gallagher
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Morgan
3-7 (W-L)
Gordon Gallagher
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Morgan 1450 · Gordon Gallagher 1496
| Ryan Morgan | Gordon Gallagher | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gordon Gallagher (rating 1450 vs 1496).
- Note: Ryan Morgan makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Ryan Morgan | Gordon Gallagher | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.9 | 10.6-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 62% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Morgan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Drew Hedgecoe UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Julien Doitteau UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Jean Karim Olivier De Sardan UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Leo Matthysen UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Nolan Balthazor UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Sean Hill UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Sean Kamyshev UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Donald Nikolas Stoot UTR Pro Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Rudy Ceccon UTR Pro Baton Rouge · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Gordon Gallagher
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Ben Stecker UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Marcin Andrzejczak UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/09 | James Weber UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/09 | Piet Steveker UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 06/09 | August Brostroem Poulsen UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/09 | Drew Hedgecoe UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Enzo Tafarelo Vargas UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Erik Schiessl UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Cyrus Ahmad UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Arenui Luethi UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Morgan vs Gordon Gallagher?
Our model gives 62% to Gordon Gallagher, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.