Tennis · UTR Pro Norfolk · 27/09, 16:30
Prediction: Lukas Palovic vs Gabriel Elicha Navas
Team pages: Gabriel Elicha Navas
Prediction summary
Winner
Lukas Palovic
Gabriel Elicha Navas
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lukas Palovic
6-4 (W-L)
Gabriel Elicha Navas
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lukas Palovic 1561 · Gabriel Elicha Navas 1571
| Lukas Palovic | Gabriel Elicha Navas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lukas Palovic | Gabriel Elicha Navas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-7.6 | 10.9-6.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 57.6% | 57.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lukas Palovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Marcin Andrzejczak UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Harrison Lee UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Ilan Hediger UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Zechariah Hamrouni UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Botond Kisantal UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tomas Zlatohlavek UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 09/11 | Bozo Barun UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/11 | JP Day UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 06/11 | Maxim Michaels UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Gabriel Elicha Navas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Julien Doitteau UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Kasper Kulpa UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Szymon Malecki UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Felix Obermair UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Christopher Thies UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/11 | James Weber UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/11 | Brody Nejedly-Krall UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/11 | Carl Labitzke UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/10 | Nicolas Kobelt UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lukas Palovic vs Gabriel Elicha Navas?
Our model gives 58% to Lukas Palovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.