Tennis · M15 Baku · 26/09, 08:00
Prediction: Dmitry Dolzhenkov vs Arvid Nordquist
Team pages: Arvid Nordquist
Prediction summary
Winner
Dmitry Dolzhenkov
Arvid Nordquist
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Dmitry Dolzhenkov
3-7 (W-L)
Arvid Nordquist
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dmitry Dolzhenkov 1449 · Arvid Nordquist 1565
| Dmitry Dolzhenkov | Arvid Nordquist | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arvid Nordquist (rating 1449 vs 1565).
- Arvid Nordquist is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dmitry Dolzhenkov | Arvid Nordquist | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-13.6 | 12.7-9.4 |
| Aces | – | 1.7 |
| Double faults | – | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | – | 72.4% |
| Break % | – | 56.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dmitry Dolzhenkov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04 | Razvan Baiant UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 15/04 | George Lazarov UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Dusan Milanovic UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 17/01 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/01 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/01 | Janos Fekete UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/01 | Sam Bakker UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/01 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/01 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/01 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Arvid Nordquist
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Millen Hurrion M15 Baku |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | James Connel M15 Baku |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Pavel Savelov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Giulio Perego Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Amit Vales M15 Turku |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Markus Molder M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Romain Andres M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Stian Klaassen M15 Turku |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Martin Borisiouk M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dmitry Dolzhenkov vs Arvid Nordquist?
Our model gives 77% to Arvid Nordquist, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.