Tennis · W35 Sharm El Sheikh · 26/09, 08:30
Prediction: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Yuliya Hatouka
Team pages: Zuzanna Pawlikowska · Yuliya Hatouka
Prediction summary
Winner
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Yuliya Hatouka
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
8-2 (W-L)
Yuliya Hatouka
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zuzanna Pawlikowska 1563 · Yuliya Hatouka 1503
| Zuzanna Pawlikowska | Yuliya Hatouka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zuzanna Pawlikowska (rating 1563 vs 1503).
- Note: Yuliya Hatouka makes many double faults (8.5/match).
Statistics
| Zuzanna Pawlikowska | Yuliya Hatouka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.4 | 11.5-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 8.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 61.5% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Esther Adeshina W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Ksenia Smirnova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Liana Dvalishvili W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/09 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Kateryna Diatlova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Alexandra Cheishvili W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Daria Kuczer W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Dalila Jakupovic W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Oriana Gniewkowska W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Yuliya Hatouka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Mara Guth W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 24/09 | Ksenia Efremova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Emily Appleton W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/08 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Valentina Vargas W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Lucia Llinares Domingo W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Yuliya Hatouka?
Our model gives 54% to Zuzanna Pawlikowska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.