Tennis · W35 Sharm El Sheikh · 25/09, 10:00
Prediction: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Esther Adeshina
Team pages: Zuzanna Pawlikowska · Esther Adeshina
Prediction summary
Winner
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Esther Adeshina
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
8-2 (W-L)
Esther Adeshina
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zuzanna Pawlikowska 1560 · Esther Adeshina 1505
| Zuzanna Pawlikowska | Esther Adeshina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zuzanna Pawlikowska (rating 1560 vs 1505).
- Note: Esther Adeshina makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Zuzanna Pawlikowska | Esther Adeshina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-7 | 9-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 62.1% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Ksenia Smirnova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Liana Dvalishvili W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/09 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Kateryna Diatlova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Alexandra Cheishvili W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Daria Kuczer W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Dalila Jakupovic W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Oriana Gniewkowska W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Megan Heuser W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Esther Adeshina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Elena Jamshidi W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Daria Zelinskaya W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Viktoria Hruncakova W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Ylenia Zocco W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Victoria Allen W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Urszula Radwanska W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Eliz Maloney W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Esther Adeshina?
Our model gives 59% to Zuzanna Pawlikowska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.