Tennis · W35 Sharm El Sheikh · 24/09, 09:00
Prediction: Hania Abouelsaad vs Maria Golovina
Team pages: Hania Abouelsaad · Maria Golovina
Prediction summary
Winner
Hania Abouelsaad
Maria Golovina
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Hania Abouelsaad
6-4 (W-L)
Maria Golovina
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hania Abouelsaad 1478 · Maria Golovina 1532
| Hania Abouelsaad | Maria Golovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Golovina (rating 1478 vs 1532).
- Note: Hania Abouelsaad makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Hania Abouelsaad | Maria Golovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12.7 | 10.9-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 53.6% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hania Abouelsaad
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Alize Lim W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 02/09 | Emilia Brune W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Kateryna Diatlova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Amelie Smejkalova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 08/07 | Nada Fouad W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Eliz Maloney W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 20/02 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
| 19/02 | Jeong Moon W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/02 | Siyoen Sim W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 17/02 | Kristina Belkova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
Maria Golovina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Anja Wildgruber W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Anna Petkovic W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Samira De Stefano W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Giorgia Pedone W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Miriam Bulgaru W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Sara Cakarevic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Lea Nilsson W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Alina Yuneva W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hania Abouelsaad vs Maria Golovina?
Our model gives 75% to Maria Golovina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.