Tennis · W50 Berkeley · 25/09, 22:00
Prediction: Kayla Day vs Anna Rogers
Team pages: Kayla Day · Anna Rogers
Prediction summary
Winner
Kayla Day
Anna Rogers
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Kayla Day
6-4 (W-L)
Anna Rogers
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kayla Day
1–0
Anna Rogers
(1 last)
- 18 Apr2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kayla Day 1514 · Anna Rogers 1530
| Kayla Day | Anna Rogers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kayla Day dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 45.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Kayla Day 1–0 Anna Rogers (1).
- Note: Kayla Day makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Kayla Day | Anna Rogers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.6 | 10.8-10.1 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 58.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Kayla Day 1 – 0 Anna Rogers (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kayla Day 1–0 Anna Rogers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/22 ITF W60 Charlottesville | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kayla Day
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Evialina Laskevich W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Arina Bulatova W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/09 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Suzan Lamens WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Julieta Pareja US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Yue Yuan WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 11/08 | Taylah Preston WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Anna Rogers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Yara Bartashevich W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Maria Sholokhova W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Hiroko Kuwata W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/08 | Capucine Jauffret W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Mary Stoiana W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jenna Defalco W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kayla Day vs Anna Rogers?
Our model gives 70% to Kayla Day, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.