Tennis · W50 Berkeley · 24/09, 22:00

Prediction: Kayla Day vs Evialina Laskevich

Team pages: Kayla Day · Evialina Laskevich

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Kayla Day Evialina Laskevich
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kayla Day 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWLWLW
Evialina Laskevich 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kayla Day 1493 · Evialina Laskevich 1633
Kayla DayEvialina Laskevich
Our model31%69%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Evialina Laskevich (rating 1493 vs 1633).
  • Kayla Day dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 46.2% break avg.
  • Evialina Laskevich is in better form: 100% recent wins.
  • Note: Kayla Day makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Kayla DayEvialina Laskevich
Win %50%100%
Win % · Hard 44% (9) 100% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.12-0.4
Games (G-P)11.1-10.513.4-7
Aces6.10.8
Double faults4.52.1
1st serve %67.9%63.7%
Break %46.2%62.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kayla Day

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Arina Bulatova
W50 Berkeley
2-0 12-1 W
17/09 Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
1-2 18-16 L
14/09 Elvina Kalieva
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
09/09 Elsa Jacquemot
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
07/09 Suzan Lamens
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
24/08 Julieta Pareja
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
15/08 Shuai Zhang
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 10-14 L
13/08 Yue Yuan
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
11/08 Taylah Preston
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
05/08 Coco Gauff
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Evialina Laskevich

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Victoria Rodriguez
W50 Berkeley
2-1 16-13 W
28/06 Meiqi Guo
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 16-8 W
27/06 Eva Marie Desvignes
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 10-0 W
26/06 JiaYi Wang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
25/06 I Wen Wan
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 14-10 W
24/06 Junhan Zhang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
21/06 Jiaqi Wang
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/06 Chenting Zhu
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
18/06 Tiana Tian Deng
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
17/06 Shiyu Ye
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kayla Day vs Evialina Laskevich?

Our model gives 58% to Kayla Day, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.