Tennis · W50 Berkeley · 24/09, 20:30
Prediction: Hanna Chang vs Alina Shcherbinina
Team pages: Hanna Chang · Alina Shcherbinina
Prediction summary
Winner
Hanna Chang
Alina Shcherbinina
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Hanna Chang
6-4 (W-L)
Alina Shcherbinina
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hanna Chang
2–0
Alina Shcherbinina
(2 last)
- 29 Jul2-0 12-4W
- 19 Jul2-1 14-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hanna Chang 1551 · Alina Shcherbinina 1586
| Hanna Chang | Alina Shcherbinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hanna Chang 2–0 Alina Shcherbinina (2).
- Note: Hanna Chang makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Alina Shcherbinina makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Hanna Chang | Alina Shcherbinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.7 | 1.9-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-7.4 | 12.2-4.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 61% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
H2H · Hanna Chang 2 – 0 Alina Shcherbinina (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hanna Chang 2–0 Alina Shcherbinina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/26 W75 Lexington | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07/26 W35 Dallas | 2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hanna Chang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Kailey Evans W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Elizabeth Mandlik W100 Landisville |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 04/08 | Dalayna Hewitt W100 Landisville |
1-1 | 6-4 | W |
| 31/07 | Ayana Akli W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Jantje Tilbuerger W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Sofia Johnson W100 Evansville |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 21/07 | Ellie Myers W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Lexington Reed W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Alina Shcherbinina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Berta Passola W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Krisha Mahendran W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Marta Mariia Makarova UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 04/09 | Jade Psonka UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Maria Ustic UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Ligaya Murray UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Kayla Schefke UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/08 | Carla Grignac UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hanna Chang vs Alina Shcherbinina?
Our model gives 54% to Alina Shcherbinina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.